Browsing by Author "Maduranga, S."

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    Clinical and laboratory associations of severity in a Sri Lankan cohort of patients with serologically confirmed leptospirosis: a prospective study
    (Oxford : Oxford University Press, 2015) Rajapakse, S.; Weeratunga, P.; Niloofa, M.J.; Fernando, N.; Rodrigo, C.; Maduranga, S.; de Silva, N.L.; de Silva, H.J.; Karunanayake, L.; Handunnetti, S.
    BACKGROUND: Leptospirosis results in significant morbidity and mortality. This study elucidates markers of severity in a cohort of Sri Lankan patients. METHODS: Patients presenting to three healthcare institutions in the Western province of SriLanka with leptospirosis serological confirmed by the microscopic agglutination test (MAT) were included. Prospective data regarding demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters was extracted. Univariate associations and subsequent multivariate logistic regression models were constructed. RESULTS: The study included 232 patients, with 68.5% (159) demonstrating severe disease. Significant associations of severe disease at a significance level of p<0.05 were fever >38.8°C on presentation, age >40 years, muscle tenderness, tachycardia on admission, highest white cell count >12 350/mm(3) and <7900/mm(3), highest neutrophil percentage >84%, haemoglobin >11.2 g/dL and <10.2 g/dL, packed cell volume (PCV) >33.8% and <29.8%, lowest platelet count <63 500/mm(3), highest alanine transaminase (ALT) >70 IU/L and hyponatremia with sodium <131mEq/L. On multivariate analysis, PCV <29.8% (p=0.011; OR 3.750; CI: 1.394-10.423), ALT >70 IU/L (p=0.044; OR 2.639; CI: 1.028-6.774) and hyponatremia <131mEq/L (p=0.019; OR 6.413; CI: 1.353-30.388) were independent associations of severe disease. CONCLUSIONS: Severity associations were demonstrated with both clinical and laboratoryparameters. There is a need for novel biomarkers for prediction of severity in leptospirosis. © The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
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    A Diagnostic scoring model for Leptospirosis in resource limited settings
    (Public Library of Science, 2016) Rajapakse, S.; Weeratunga, P.; Niloofa, R.; Fernando, N.; de Silva, N.L.; Rodrigo, C.; Maduranga, S.; Nandasiri, N.; Premawansa, S.; Karunanayake, L.; de Silva, H.J.; Handunnetti, S.
    Leptospirosis is a zoonotic infection with significant morbidity and mortality. The clinical presentation of leptospirosis is known to mimic the clinical profile of other prevalent tropical fevers. Laboratory confirmation of leptospirosis is based on the reference standard microscopic agglutination test (MAT), direct demonstration of the organism, and isolation by culture and DNA detection by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) amplification. However these methods of confirmation are not widely available in resource limited settings where the infection is prevalent, and reliance is placed on clinical features for provisional diagnosis. In this prospective study, we attempted to develop a model for diagnosis of leptospirosis, based on clinical features and standard laboratory test results. METHODS: The diagnostic score was developed based on data from a prospective multicentre study in two hospitals in the Western Province of Sri Lanka. All patients presenting to these hospitals with a suspected diagnosis of leptospirosis, based on the WHO surveillance criteria, were recruited. Confirmed disease was defined as positive genus specific MAT (Leptospira biflexa). A derivation cohort and a validation cohort were randomly selected from available data. Clinical and laboratory manifestations associated with confirmed leptospirosis in the derivation cohort were selected for construction of a multivariate regression model with correlation matrices, and adjusted odds ratios were extracted for significant variables. The odds ratios thus derived were subsequently utilized in the criteria model, and sensitivity and specificity examined with ROC curves. RESULTS: A total of 592 patients were included in the final analysis with 450 (180 confirmed leptospirosis) in the derivation cohort and 142 (52 confirmed leptospirosis) in the validation cohort. The variables in the final model were: history of exposure to a possible source of leptospirosis(adjusted OR = 2.827; 95% CI = 1.517-5.435; p = 0.001) serum creatinine > 150 micromol/l (adjusted OR = 2.735; 95% CI = 1.374-4.901; p = 0.001), neutrophil differential percentage > 80.0% of total white blood cell count (adjusted OR 2.163; 95% CI = 1.309-3.847; p = 0.032), serum bilirubin > 30 micromol/l (adjusted OR = 1.717; 95% CI 0.938-3.456; p = 0.049) and platelet count < 85,000/mm3 (adjusted OR = 2.350; 95% CI = 1.481-4.513; p = 0.006). Hosmer-Lemeshow test for goodness of fit was 0.931. The Nagelkerke R2 was 0.622. The area under the curve (AUC) was noted as 0.762. A score value of 14 reflected a sensitivity of 0.803, specificity of 0.602, a PPV of 0.54, NPV of 0.84, a positive LR of 2.01 and a negative LR of 0.32. CONCLUSIONS: The above diagnostic model for diagnosis of leptospirosis is suggested for use in clinical settings. It should be further validated in clinical practice.