Medicine
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This repository contains the published and unpublished research of the Faculty of Medicine by the staff members of the faculty
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Item A Statistical Approach to Define Thresholds for Dengue Epidemic Management in Akurana Medical Officer of Health Area, Kandy District of Sri Lanka(19th Conference on Postgraduate Research, International Postgraduate Research Conference 2018, Faculty of Graduate Studies,University of Kelaniya, Sri Lanka, 2018) Udayanga, N.W.B.A.L.; Gunathilaka, P.A.D.H.N.; Iqbal, M.C.M.; Fernando, M.A.S.T.; Abeyewickreme, W.Stegomyia indices, namely; Premise Index (PI), Breteau Index (BI) and Container Index (CI) are used forvector management approaches in Sri Lanka. Properly defined threshold values for larval indices are of higher importance to provide forecasts on dengue epidemics and also for effective larval management of dengue vectors. However, such critical thresholds are poorly defined for Sri Lanka. The present study aimed to define threshold values forabove larval indices for dengue epidemic management in the Akurana Medical Officer of Health (MOH) in the Kandy District. Larval surveys were conducted on a monthly basis from January, 2016 to June, 2018. Four larval indices, namely BI for Aedesaegypti (BIA) and Aedesalbopictus (BIB), PI and CI were calculated. Further, monthly larval indices of AkuranaMOH area from January, 2012 to December, 2015, were obtained from the MOH office, along with monthly reported dengue cases for the entire study period. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves in SPSS (version 23) were used to assess the discriminative power of the larval indices in determiningdengue epidemics and thresholds based on larval indices. As indicated by the area of ROC curve (AUC), the BIA (0.661) and PI (0.637) were having a notable discriminative power to forecast dengue epidemics at a two-month lag period. Both BIB (0.397) and CI (0.526) were non-informative influencers at one and two-month lag periods. The BIA and PI were better predictors of dengue incidence than BIB and CI. Based on the ROC curve, three risk thresholds were defined for BIA as Low Risk (BIA≤2.1), Moderate Risk (3.9≤BIA<4.85), and High Risk (BIA≥4.85), with respect to Ae. aegypti. According to the PI, thresholds were defined as Low Risk (PI≤6.2), Moderate Risk (7.7≤ PI<9.9), and High Risk (PI≥ 9.9). Threshold values defined for BI of Ae. aegypti and PI, could be recommended to be considered in implementing vector control efforts in the above study area for effective dengue epidemic management, through pre planned entomological management of dengue vectors.Item Determination of the efficiency of diets for larval development in mass rearing Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae)(CABI Publishing, 2018) Gunathilaka, P.A.D.H.N.; Uduwawala, U.M.H.U.; Udayanga, N.W.B.A.L.; Ranathunge, R.M.T.B.; Amarasinghe, L.D.; Abeyewickreme, W.Larval diet quality and rearing conditions have a direct and irreversible effect on adult traits. Therefore, the current study was carried out to optimize the larval diet for mass rearing of Aedes aegypti, for Sterile Insect Technique (SIT)-based applications in Sri Lanka. Five batches of 750 first instar larvae (L 1) of Ae. aegypti were exposed to five different concentrations (2-10%) of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) recommended the larval diet. Morphological development parameters of larva, pupa, and adult were detected at 24 h intervals along with selected growth parameters. Each experiment was replicated five times. General Linear Modeling along with Pearson's correlation analysis were used for statistical treatments. Significant differences (P < 0.05) among the larvae treated with different concentrations were found using General Linear Modeling in all the stages namely: total body length and the thoracic length of larvae; cephalothoracic length and width of pupae; thoracic length, thoracic width, abdominal length and the wing length of adults; along with pupation rate and success, sex ratio, adult success, fecundity and hatching rate of Ae. aegypti. The best quality adults can be produced at larval diet concentration of 10%. However, the 8% larval diet concentration was most suitable for adult male survival.