Medicine
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This repository contains the published and unpublished research of the Faculty of Medicine by the staff members of the faculty
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Item A forecasting model for dengue incidence in the District of Gampaha, Sri Lanka(BioMed Central, 2018) Withanage, G.P.; Viswakula, S.D.; Nilmini Silva Gunawardena, Y.I.; Hapugoda, M.D.BACKGROUND: Dengue is one of the major health problems in Sri Lanka causing an enormous social and economic burden to the country. An accurate early warning system can enhance the efficiency of preventive measures. The aim of the study was to develop and validate a simple accurate forecasting model for the District of Gampaha, Sri Lanka. Three time-series regression models were developed using monthly rainfall, rainy days, temperature, humidity, wind speed and retrospective dengue incidences over the period January 2012 to November 2015 for the District of Gampaha, Sri Lanka. Various lag times were analyzed to identify optimum forecasting periods including interactions of multiple lags. The models were validated using epidemiological data from December 2015 to November 2017. Prepared models were compared based on Akaike's information criterion, Bayesian information criterion and residual analysis. RESULTS: The selected model forecasted correctly with mean absolute errors of 0.07 and 0.22, and root mean squared errors of 0.09 and 0.28, for training and validation periods, respectively. There were no dengue epidemics observed in the district during the training period and nine outbreaks occurred during the forecasting period. The proposed model captured five outbreaks and correctly rejected 14 within the testing period of 24 months. The Pierce skill score of the model was 0.49, with a receiver operating characteristic of 86% and 92% sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: The developed weather based forecasting model allows warnings of impending dengue outbreaks and epidemics in advance of one month with high accuracy. Depending upon climatic factors, the previous month's dengue cases had a significant effect on the dengue incidences of the current month. The simple, precise and understandable forecasting model developed could be used to manage limited public health resources effectively for patient management, vector surveillance and intervention programmes in the district.Item Role of Aedes albopictus in transmitting dengue virus in some endemic areas in Kurunegala District.(University of Kelaniya, 2003) Hapugoda, M.D.; de Silva, N.R.; Abeysundara, S.; Bandara, K.B.A.T.; Dayanath, M.Y.D.; Abeyewickreme, W.Abstract AvailableItem Detection of dengue virus in Aedes albopictus mosquitoes by Reverse Transcription Polymerase-Chain Reaction-Liquid Hybridization (RT-PCR-LH) based assay.(Sri Lanka College of Microbiologists, 2003) Hapugoda, M.D.; Gunasekera, M.B.; de Silva, N.R.; Gunasena, S.; Prithimala, L.D.; Dayanath, M.Y.D.; Abeyewickreme, W.Dengue is an important public health problem. In this study an RT-PCR-LH assay was developed for the detection of dengue virus in Ae.albopictus, a vector of dengue. Laboratory bred Ae.albopictus (adults inoculated with dengue prototypes were tested by RT-PCR-LH assay. RT-PCR products of NS3 gene of 4 dengue prototypes were hybridized in liquid phase with 32P) labelled cocktail of dengue serotype-specific ologonucliotides. Semi-Nested-PCR agarose gel electrophoresis (Semi-Nested-PCR-AGE) assay with dengue type specific oligonucliotides was carried out for typing of RT-PCR products. Wild-caught Ae.albopictus (larvae (n=89 pools) and adults (n=69 pools) collected from dengue case reported stations during the period of 1999-2002 were also tested by RT-PCR-LH and typed by Nested-PCR-AGE assay). A DNA band (470bp) specific for dengue virus was observed in all pools of Ae.albopictus (inoculated with dengue prototypes in RT-PCR-LH assay. When RT-PCR products of dengue prototypes inoculated mosquitoes were typed by Semi-Nested-PCR-AGE assay, bands of 169,362, 265, 426 bp sizes corresponding to DEN1, DEN2, DEN3 and DEN4 respectively were observed. The DNA band specific for dengue virus (470bp) was also observed in 6 pools of wild-caught adults in RT-PCR-LH assay. They were found to be infected with DEN3 (265bp DEN3 specific DNA band was detected) by Semi-Nested-PCR-AGE assay. None of the wild-caught larvae showed dengue specific DNA band (470bp) in RT-PCR-LH assay). RT-PCR-LH with Semi-Nested-PCR-AGE assays are useful for the detection and typing of dengue virus in Ae.albopictus. Ae.albopictus (in Sri Lanka is competent in transmitting DEN3 and possibly other serotypes. Detection of dengue virus for the first time in Ae.albopictus in Sri Lanka confirms earlier observations that it may play an important role in transmitting dengue). Acknowledgements: Financial assistance by the International Atomic Energy Agency (Technical Co¬operation grant no SLR/ 06 / 024) and University of Kelaniya (Research grant no RP/03/04/06/01/00) is gratefully acknowledged.Item Shifting of circulating serotypes in dengue outbreaks during 2009/2010 in Sri lanka(Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, 2010) Manamperi, N.H.; Athapaththu, A.M.M.H.; Premawansa, G.; Wellawaththage, C.; Jayarathna, T. D. S. S.; Abeyewickreme, W.; Hapugoda, M.D.OBJECTIVES: Sri Lanka has experienced explosive outbreaks of dengue infection in 2009 and 2010. It has been identified that DEN- 3 and DEN- 2 were the predominant serotypes with DEN-1 and DEN- 4 circulating at a lower level in previous dengue outbreaks during 2003-2006, Objective of this study was to identify the circulating serotype/s during 2009 - 2010 outbreaks. METHODOLOGY: A prospective study was carried out at North Colombo Teaching Hospital, Sri Lanka during December 2009-August 2010. Clinically suspected dengue patients, with fever less than 5 days were recruited. An interviewer administered questionnaire was filled for each patient, by a Medical Officer. Venous blood samples confirmed for the presence of dengue virus by RT-PCR were typed by Semi-Nested PCR. RESULTS: Out of the 209 patients recruited in the study 80 (38%) were positive for dengue virus by RT-PCR. Of the positives, 43 (54%) were typed and circulation of all 4 serotypes was observed- Of the 43 positives, presence of DEN-1, DEN-2, DEN-3 and DEN-4 serotypes was 34 (79%), 3 (7%), 2 (5%) and 3 (7%) respectively DEN-1 was the predominant serotype in the recent epidemics which was circulating at a low level in previous epidemics. In DEN-1 infected patients, the mean platelet value was 58,588/ rnm3 and the mean PCV value was 41.4%. Associated symptoms such as headache, retro-orbital pain, neck pain and limb pain were present in 94% (32/34), 59% (20/34), 24% (8/34J and 91% (31/34) patients respectively. Bleeding manifestation developed in 47 % (16/34) patients. The mortality rate ranged from 0.7%- 1.0% during the recent outbreaks. Acknowledgement: Financial and technical assistance from the International Centre for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (ICGEB CRP/ SRI08-02) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA SRI 5/042) is gratefully acknowledged.Item Tetravalent dengue specific domain III based chimeric recombinant protein as dengue diagnostic intermediates for the detection of both anti-dengue immunoglobulin M(IGM) and imunoglobulin G(IGG) antibodies in human serum samples.(International Water Management Institute, 2006) Hapugoda, M.D.; Abeyewickreme, W.; Gunasena, S.; Khanna, N.BACKGROUND: Dengue infection is an important mosquito borne viral infection caused by four serotypes of dengue virus with explosive outbreaks occurring in many tropical areas. Laboratory diagnosis of the disease mainly depends on Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) based on whole viral antigens which cause biohazard risk, high production cost and cross reactivity with other flaviviruses. OBJECTIVES: To produce a recombinant protein antigen to overcome problems associated with whole dengue viral antigen/lysate or recombinant whole envelope protein. STUDY DESIGN: We have designed and expressed a single recombinant tetravalent protein antigen which contains Domain III of envelope protein from all four serotypes of dengue virus, linked with each other through penta glycine linkers. This synthetic gene was expressed in Escherichia coli and protein was purified using a single affinity chromatographic step. We developed Immunoglobulin M (IgM) and Immunoglobulin G (IgG) ELISAs using this novel protein as the capture antigen. The antigen was validated as a diagnostic reagent on serum samples. RESULTS: 30 mg of recombinant protein per litre of culture could be purified. Both ELISAs developed using this novel recombinant protein showed an excellent agreement with a commercially available IgM ELISA (MRL diagnostic) and haernagglutination inhibition assay respectively. Conclusions: Findings of this study suggests that this single dengue specific tetravalent recombinant protein antigen can be used as a diagnostic intermediate for detection of dengue infection.Item A Preliminary study of genetic estimates of population structure of Aedes aegypti populations in three districts, Sri Lanka(Sri Lanka Association for the Advancement of Science, 2014) Fernando, H.S.D; Hapugoda, M.D.; de Silva, B.G.D.N.K.Item Dengue vector surveillance in a dengue hot-spot in Sri Lanka(Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, 2007) Sumanadasa, S.D.M.; Hapugoda, M.D.; Perera, D.; Bandara, S.; Mansoor, M.A.; Peris, I.; Abeyewickreme, W.BACKGROUND: In South Asia, dengue has been declared as one of the most, fast-spreading vector-borne diseases. Therefore, mosquito surveillance is important for early detection of outbreaks along with implementation of prompt control activities. OBJECTIVES: To identify entomological risk factors with regard to transmission of dengue in a dengue hot-spot. Seventy five human dwellings in Vehara in the Kurunegala District of the Western Province were selected based on high disease incidence during 2000-2004, high Aedes as well as human population density and increased building activities. Entomological surveillance was done during May-August, 2007. RESULTS: The house Index ranged from 2.67% to 5.33% for Aedes aegypti while it for Aedes albopictus was 1.33% to 6.60%. The container index ranged from 23.67% to 29.33% for Ae. aegypti and from 1.33% to 18% for Ae. aibopictus. Man biting rates of 0.43-5.78 bites/man/hour were estimated for Ae, aegypti, while it ranged between 0.49 and 1.33 for Ae. aibopictus. The most common breeding place for Aedes species was plastic baskets (16%, n=12). DISCUSSIONS: Vector surveillance showed that the predominant vector species present in the study area was Ae. ageypti. Aedes mosquito larval densities and adult biting rates were sufficient to promote outbreaks of dengue in this study area. Community must be educated regarding effective measures to protect them from dengue. Their cooperation should be elicited in the early detection and elimination of vector species by source reduction, environmental management and personal protection measures.Item Correlation between clinical and laboratory diagnosis of dengue in Sri Lanka.(Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, 2007) Hapugoda, M.D.; Khan, B.; de Silva, N.R.; Gunasekera, J.; Abeyewickreme, W.BACKGROUND: In Sri Lanka, diagnosis of dengue mainly depends on clinical signs and symptoms. Very few suspected patients from the state and private sector health institutions are tested by laboratory diagnostic assays compared to the number of dengue cases recorded all over the island. OBJECTIVES: To correlate clinical parameters with laboratory diagnosis in confirmation of dengue. RESEARCH DESIGN: Patients, clinically suspected of having dengue (n=201) were selected based on WHO criteria. Serum samples were tested using major 3 types of laboratory diagnostic assays; molecular, virus isolation and serology. Differences in clinical and laboratory data were analyzed on the basis of the final diagnosis assigned as dengue or non-dengue. Chi-square test was used for comparison of data. RESULTS: The proportion of laboratory diagnosed dengue patients were 80% (162/201). Mean platelet value and PCV in laboratory confirmed dengue patients were 92 247/mm3 (range 20 000-318 000) and 45% (range 31-59%) respectively. On comparison of the presence of clinical features that are used by the WHO for diagnosis of dengue, headache (129/162 vs 18/39, x2=23, p=0.00), limb pain (107/162 vs 18/39, x2=4.56, p=0.03) and external bleeding (67/162 vs 00/39, X2=27, p=0.00) showed significant association, with dengue infection. The infection was confirmed as definitive dengue in 75% (121 /162) and probable dengue in 25% (41/162). DISCUSSION: Surveillance based on clinical diagnosis may result in over estimation of the disease as clinical diagnosis is not specific enough. Laboratory confirmation of dengue suspected patients is important to measure the real incidence of the disease is needed in country like Sri Lanka.Item Silent transmission as a risk factor affecting transmission of dengue fever.(Faculty of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Science, University of Peradeniya, 2007) Hapangama, H.A.D.C.; Hapugoda, M.D.; Gunawardene, Y.I.N.S.; Premaratna, R.; Dayanath, M.Y.D.; Abeyewickreme, W.The global incidence of dengue fever has increased by more than four-folds over the last 30 years, making it the most threatening mosquito-borne viral disease at present. Objective of this study is to determine the role of silent transmission •on' incidence of dengue. A total of 40 households, living within a 300 m radius of seven selected ‘confirmed dengue cases at different dengue high risk localities in Gampaha District were recruited for this study. A minimum of three inhabitants were tested for anti-dengue antibodies using a commercial kit to determine the prevalence of silent transmission on dengue infection in each households. Entomological surveillance was carried out in all seven localities. Out of 40 households, 26 (65%) houses were positive for dengue viral infection. Total of 148 inhabitants (68 Males); mean age; 35.9 years were enrolled. Of the 148, 41 (27.7%) had evidence of exposure to dengue virus [positive for IgM: 28/41(68.4%), IgM'& IgG: 7/41(17%) and IgG: 6/41(14.6%)]. Out of 28 primary infections, 20(71.4%) were asymptomatic. Of the 7 secondary infections, 1(14.28%) was asymptomatic. Of the 6 previous exposures to dengue 4(66.67%) were asymptomatic. Of the 7 localities investigated, 1 had >50%, 4 had >25% and 2 had <25% clustering of cases. Ae. albopictus found in all seven localities and Ae. aegypti found only in two localities. This study suggests presence of silent transmission of dengue virus with a trend towards clustering around cases and also this shows that the presence of vectors increases the incidence of dengue.Item Dengue as-a public health problem in Sri Lanka(La Fondation pour l’Université de Lyon, 2009) Hapangama, H.A.D.C.; Gunawardene, Y.I.N.S.; Hapugoda, M.D.; Premaratna, R.; Manamperi, A.; Gunasena, S.; Abeyewickreme, W.Dengue infection is an important global public health problem and an increasing number of persons from the South Asian region have been directly or indirectly affected by the disease. In Sri Lanka, dengue has become a major threat to public health in many urban and sub-urban' areas during past three decades. Rapid unplanned urbanization and increasing human population has increase the rate of infection and the frequency. The study area, Gampaha District is the second most populous district in the country having a population density of 1 539 persons per km2 and was the district reporting the second highest incidence of dengue in 2008. Therefore, current research efforts are focused on dengue transmission, examining the presence of sub-clinical infections, role of vector mosquitoes and Knowledge, Attitude and Practices (KAP) of the community on dengue infection in an effort to contain the disease. In the present study, dengue antibodies were detected in samples collected from clinically suspected patients and as well as in samples collected from volunteers. Volunteer sera collected around the confirmed cases had a 23.6% sero-positive rate for dengue IgM antibodies. The rate of asymptomatic recent infections was calculated to be 16.9%. In present study we have serologically confirmed the presence of subclinical infections and according to the published data this is the first confirmation of asymptomatic dengue infections in Sri Lanka. According to the entomological investigations carried out, the common breeding places for Aedes vectors were found to be discarded small containers. Even though Ae. Aegypti has been considered as the principal vector transmitting dengue fever, current studies highlighted the predominant ro!e of Ae. albopictus in the disease transmission. A previous study in Sri Lanka also suggested that prevalence and .presence of high-density of Ae. albopictus should be considered as a risk factor for endemic/epidemic dengue. In view of the above, the spread of dengue by Ae. albopictus should be a matter of great concern. Findings of KAP survey revealed that the community possessed substantially higher knowledge on the spread of dengue, vectors, vector breeding and also seriousness of the infection. However it was observed that good knowledge does not necessarily lead to good practices. Since the attitudes of the respondents were found to be good and most of them were supportive of control measures; next effort of the present study is to see how a novel community mobilized solid waste management system will be effective in dengue vector control.
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