Medicine

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This repository contains the published and unpublished research of the Faculty of Medicine by the staff members of the faculty

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    Development and validation of a cardiovascular risk prediction model for Sri Lankans using machine learning.
    (Public Library of Science, 2024-10) Mettananda, C.; Sanjeewa, I.; Arachchi, T.B.; Wijesooriya, A.; Chandrasena, C.; Weerasinghe, T.; Solangaarachchige, M.; Ranasinghe, A.; Elpitiya, I.; Sammandapperuma, R.; Kurukulasooriya, S.; Ranawaka, U.; Pathmeswaran, A.; Kasturiratne, A.; Kato, N.; Wickramasinghe, R.; Haddela, P.; De Silva, J.
    INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES Sri Lankans do not have a specific cardiovascular (CV) risk prediction model and therefore, World Health Organization(WHO) risk charts developed for the Southeast Asia Region are being used. We aimed to develop a CV risk prediction model specific for Sri Lankans using machine learning (ML) of data of a population-based, randomly selected cohort of Sri Lankans followed up for 10 years and to validate it in an external cohort.MATERIAL AND METHODS The cohort consisted of 2596 individuals between 40-65 years of age in 2007, who were followed up for 10 years. Of them, 179 developed hard CV diseases (CVD) by 2017. We developed three CV risk prediction models named model 1, 2 and 3 using ML. We compared predictive performances between models and the WHO risk charts using receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC). The most predictive and practical model for use in primary care, model 3 was named "SLCVD score" which used age, sex, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, history of diabetes, and total cholesterol level in the calculation. We developed an online platform to calculate the SLCVD score. Predictions of SLCVD score were validated in an external hospital-based cohort.RESULTS Model 1, 2, SLCVD score and the WHO risk charts predicted 173, 162, 169 and 10 of 179 observed events and the area under the ROC (AUC) were 0.98, 0.98, 0.98 and 0.52 respectively. During external validation, the SLCVD score and WHO risk charts predicted 56 and 18 respectively of 119 total events and AUCs were 0.64 and 0.54 respectively.CONCLUSIONS SLCVD score is the first and only CV risk prediction model specific for Sri Lankans. It predicts the 10-year risk of developing a hard CVD in Sri Lankans. SLCVD score was more effective in predicting Sri Lankans at high CV risk than WHO risk charts.
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    Stroke in old age
    (Ceylon College of Physicians, 2024) Ranawaka, U.
    Strokes are more common in old age, and with an increasingly ageing population, Sri Lanka is likely to witness a dramatic increase in older patients with stroke. Strokes are different, are more severe and lead to more deaths and disability in old age, requiring different approaches to management. However, decision making on treatment and prevention of stroke in old age is hampered by a lack of robust evidence, as clinical trial data on stroke in old age is limited. Available data suggest that effective treatment and prevention options are underutilized due to a sense of therapeutic nihilism and concerns over safety of medications. More research is clearly needed to define the optimal treatment and preventive strategies.
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    Guillain-Barre syndrome of acute motor axonal neuropathy (AMAN) type associated with herpes zoster: a case report
    (BioMed Central, 2024) Wanninayake, L.; Rajapaksha, D.; Nair, N.; Gunarathne, K.; Ranawaka, U.
    Guillain Barre syndrome (GBS) following Varicella zoster is a rare presentation and has only been reported in a few cases around the world. Of the reported cases, the type of GBS is not specifed in the majority, and where specifed is of the acute infammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy (AIDP) type. We report a case of acute motor axonal neuropathy (AMAN) type GBS following herpes zoster in a 27-year-old male who presented with bilateral lower limb weakness and left sided lower motor neuron type facial nerve palsy a week after herpes zoster infection.
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    Azygous anterior cerebral artery infarction
    (Oxford, 2024) Fernando, N.; Ranawaka, U.
    No abstract available
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    Neurological disorders associated with COVID-19 in Sri Lanka
    (BioMed Central,, 2023) Chang, T.; Wijeyekoon, R.; Keshavaraj, A.; Ranawaka, U.; Senanayake, S.; Ratnayake, P.; Senanayake, B.; Caldera, M.C.; Pathirana, G.; Sirisena, D.; Wanigasinghe, J.; Gunatilake, S.; ASN COVID-19 Study Group
    BACKGROUND: Neurological manifestations of SARS-CoV-2 infection have been reported from many countries around the world, including the South Asian region. This surveillance study aimed to describe the spectrum of neurological disorders associated with COVID-19 in Sri Lanka. METHODS: COVID-19 patients manifesting neurological disorders one week prior and up to six weeks after infection were recruited from all the neurology centres of the government hospitals in Sri Lanka from May 2021 – May 2022. Data was collected using a structured data form that was electronically transmitted to a central repository. All patients were evaluated and managed by a neurologist. Data were analysed using simple descriptive analysis to characterise demographic and disease related variables, and simple comparisons and logistic regression were performed to analyse outcomes and their associations. RESULTS: One hundred and eighty-four patients with neurological manifestations associated with COVID-19 were recruited from all nine provinces in Sri Lanka. Ischaemic stroke (31%) was the commonest neurological manifestation followed by encephalopathy (13.6%), Guillain–Barre syndrome (GBS) (9.2%) and encephalitis (7.6%). Ischaemic stroke, encephalitis and encephalopathy presented within 6 days of onset of COVID-19 symptoms, whereas GBS and myelitis presented up to 10 days post onset while epilepsy and Bell palsy presented up to 20 – 40 days post onset. Haemorrhagic stroke presented either just prior to or at onset, or 10 – 25 days post onset of COVID-19 symptomatic infection. An increased frequency of children presenting with encephalitis and encephalopathy was observed during the Omicron variant predominant period. A poor outcome (no recovery or death) was associated with supplemental oxygen requirement during admission (Odds Ratio: 12.94; p=0.046). CONCLUSIONS: The spectrum and frequencies of COVID-19 associated neurological disorders in Sri Lanka were similar to that reported from other countries, with strokes and encephalopathy being the commonest. Requiring supplemental oxygen during hospitalisation was associated with a poor outcome.
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    Comparison of urban diabetics with optimal and suboptimal control
    (British Medical Association, London, 2011) Pinidiyapathirage, M.; Warnakulasuriya, T.; Kasturiratne, A.; Ranawaka, U.; Gunasekera, D.; Wijekoon, N.; Medagoda, K.; Perera, S.; Takeuchi, F.; Kato, N.; Wickremasinghe, A.R.
    Introduction The prevalence of Diabetes Mellitus in Sri Lanka is increasing. We describe the characteristics of patients with optimal and suboptimal control of diabetes among known diabetics in a 35–64-year-old urban population resident in the Ragama Medical Officer of Health (Ragama MOH) area of Sri Lanka. Methods A cross sectional study was conducted among 2986 randomly selected 35–64 year olds in the Ragama MOH area from January to September 2007. A detailed history was taken and participants were subjected to a physical examination and assay of fasting blood glucose and HbA1C. A HBA1C <6.5 was taken as evidence of optimal control. Results There were 474 persons (194 males and 280 females) who gave a past history of diabetes. 9 males and 9 females were not on any treatment. 27 persons (9 males and 18 females) were on insulin. Of the 474 diabetics, 113 (48 males and 65 females) had a HbA1c <6.5. The average fasting blood glucose of diabetics with optimal control was 120+21 mg/dl. The mean fasting blood glucose level of the 361 subjects with sub optimal control was 190+70 mg/dl. Optimal glycaemic control was not associated with alcohol intake, smoking, obesity, central obesity and low physical activity levels. Conclusions Most known diabetics had access to treatment but only approximately 25% were optimally treated. The need to optimally manage these patients is highlighted.
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    Epidemiology of stroke subtypes and aetiology among Sri Lankan stroke patients
    (Sage Publishing, 2020) Mettananda, C.; Wettasinghe, L,; Eshani, M.D.P.; Ranawaka, U.
    BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Prevalence of stroke is on the rise in south Asia and the epidemiology is different to western countries. However, prevalence of stroke subtypes and aetiology is not reported of Sri Lanka. Therefore, we aimed to describe the same of Sri Lanka. METHODS: We analyzed all the acute stroke admissions to a stroke unit of a tertiary care hospital in Sri Lanka over 5 year from October 2013 to 2018. Data were collected prospectively using an interviewer administered questionnaire by interviewing patients and perusing medical records. Ischaemic strokes were classified on OCSP (Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project) and TOAST(Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment) classifications RESULTS: 891 patients were admitted to stroke unit over 5 years; 765(85.5%) ischaemic strokes, 129 (14.5%) intracerebral haemorrhages (ICH), and 0(0%) sub-arachnoid haemorrhages (SAH). Of the ischemic strokes 16(1.8%) were total anterior circulation, 253(29.0%) partial anterior circulation, 543(62.3%) lacunar, 59(6.8%) posterior circulation infarcts on OCSP classification. 542 of ischaemic stroke patients who had complete investigations for TOAST classification were studied for aetiology of stroke. Atrial fibrillation was reported in only 14(2.7%) and more than 50% carotid stenosis was seen in 22(4.1%) ischaemic stroke patients. 17(3.1%) were of large artery atherosclerosis, 369(68.1%) small vessel occlusion, 11(2.0%) cardioembolic and 145(26.8%) undermined aetiology. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of ischaemic strokes, ICH and SAH were not different to western statistics in this Sri Lankan cohort of stroke patients. However, cardio-embolic and large artery strokes were less common compared to west and lacunar strokes were the commonest of ischemic strokes.
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    Prevalence and predictors of new onset depression in the acute phase of stroke
    (Elsevier Science, 2021) Isuru, A.; Hapangama, A.; Ediriweera, D.; Samarasinghe, L.; Fonseka, M.; Ranawaka, U.
    INTRODUCTION: Post-stroke depression (PSD) is known to be associated with poor functional outcome and high mortality. There is limited data on the prevalence and associated factors of depression in the acute phase after stroke. OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence of PSD in the acute phase and its correlates among patients with stroke in a tertiary care hospital in Sri Lanka. METHOD: A cross sectional descriptive study was conducted among patients with stroke admitted to the stroke unit of a tertiary care hospital in Sri Lanka over a 3-year period. Demographic and clinical information was obtained using an interviewer administered questionnaire. Depression was diagnosed using the ICD-10 criteria. Group comparisons were performed using Pearson's Chi-square test and Mann-Whitney U test Multiple logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with PSD. RESULTS: Of 374 patients, 106 patients experienced moderate to severe PSD, with a prevalence of 28.3 % (95 % CI: 23.8 %-32.9 %). Of them, 54.7 % were females, 49 % were above the age of 60 years, and 79.9 % had ischemic strokes. Female gender (OR-2.77, 95 % CI: 1.46-5.07, P = 0.002), a longer duration of hypertension (OR-1.31, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.721, P = 0.004), strokes involving the temporal lobe (OR-7.25, 95 % CI: 2.81-20.25, P < 0.001) and post-stroke functional disability (OR- O.98, 95 % CI:0.97-0.99, P = 0.001) were associated with PSD on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: More than one fourth of the patients suffered from PSD in the acute phase of stroke. Female gender, longer history of hypertension, physical dependence and temporal lobe strokes were predictive of PSD. KEYWORDS: Acute phase; Post-stroke depression; Rehabilitation; South Asia; Stroke; Stroke unit.
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    Physical activity tracking among Sri Lankan adults: findings from a 7-year follow-up of the Ragama Health Study
    (SAGE Publications, 2021) Pinidiyapathirage, J.; Kasturiratne, A.; Bennie, J.A.; Pathmeswaran, A.; Biddle, S.J.H.; de Silva, H.J.; Chackrewarthy, S.; Dassanayake, A.S.; Ranawaka, U.; Kato, N.; Wickremasinghe, A.R.
    ABSTRACT: Limited data are available on physical activity tracking among adults in low- and middle-income countries. Using a longitudinal design, we assessed trends and correlates of physical activity among Sri Lankan adults. Individuals selected through age-stratified random sampling, were screened initially in 2007 (n = 2986) and reevaluated in 2014 (n = 2148). On both occasions, structured interviews and clinical measurements were completed. Approximately 40% of the participants engaged in recommended levels of physical activity both at baseline and follow-up. One-fifth reported increased physical activity at follow-up, a similar proportion reported being persistently inactive or a reduction in physical activity. In the adjusted analysis, being persistently active was associated with male sex, a lower educational level and income, being free of any chronic disease conditions, better self-rated health, and sitting time <8 hours. Our findings support public health interventions to help maintain recommended physical activity levels over time, particularly for subgroups at high-risk of physical inactivity. KEYWORDS: Sri Lanka; lower middle-income countries; non-communicable diseases; physical activity; population studies.
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    Incidence and time trends in prevalence of stroke and vascular risk factors in an urban Sri Lankan population: A population- based cohort study
    (Asia Pacific Stroke Organization, Hong Kong Stroke Society and Jiangsu Stroke Association & karger publishing, 2017) Mettananda, C.; Wickramarathna, B.; Pathmeswaran, A.; Ranawaka, U.
    BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE: Prevalence of stroke is increasing in developing countries. However, population data on time trends in prevalence of stroke in Sri Lanka not. METHODS: We screened a population-based cohort 35–64 year selected by stratified random sampling from an urban health administrative area in 2007 evaluated them again in 2014. Identified possible stroke patients were independently reviewed by a Neurologist and a Physician with regard to diagnosis and vascular risk factors. Incidence and time trends in prevalence of stroke and vascular risk factors in 50–65-year age group were compared between 2007 and 2014. RESULTS: Of 2985 baseline study population in 2007 (females 54.5%, mean age 52.4 ± 7.8 years), 2204 attended follow-up in 2014. Of them, 45 have had a stroke/TIA, (female 51.1%, mean age 52.9 ± 5.4 years). 25 (55.6%) of them were strokes within the 7 year follow up (annual incidence-1.66 per 1000 population). Prevalence of stroke in 50–65-year age group was of the 45 stroke patients reviewed in 2014, 28 (62.2%) had. Of 27 were definite strokes, 15 probable strokes and 3 TIAs. CONCLUSION: Prevalence has increased over time in urban Sri Lanka lie between developed and developing counties.
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